Frisco has the newest housing of any city on our DFW pages. Its median home was built in 2009, and just 1.2% of owner-occupied homes predate 1980. That sounds like a poor place to sell replacements. It is the opposite: the homes built in Frisco's 1990s and 2000s boom are now reaching their first changeout together, in homes worth more than any other city on our DFW pages.
Why is Frisco a first-replacement market?
Because most owner homes are 1990s and 2000s builds on their original or second system. Census data for 2020 to 2024 shows 56.8% of Frisco's 50,878 owner-occupied homes were built from 1980 to 2009, and 42.0% in 2010 or later. Frisco's replacement demand arrives in one wave, not a steady trickle.
| Frisco, Census | Value |
|---|---|
| Population, 2020 to 2025 | 200,531 to 236,955 (+18.2%) |
| Single-family homes permitted, 2025 | 1,090 |
| Owner-occupied homes (ACS 2020 to 2024) | 50,878 (65.9% of occupied homes) |
| Owner homes built 1980 to 2009 | 28,902 (56.8%) |
| Owner homes built 2010 or later | 42.0% |
| Owner homes built before 1980 | 1.2% |
| Median year built, all homes | 2009 |
| Median home value | $642,100 |
| Occupied homes heated by gas / electricity | 54.2% / 44.0% |
A first replacement is a different sale. The homeowner has never bought a system before. They do not know what a SEER2 rating is, why the estimate covers a coil as well as the condenser, or why two estimates differ by thousands. Frisco creative explains the job before it sells it.
Where has Frisco's building moved?
North, past the city line. Frisco permitted 1,090 single-family homes in 2025, while Celina, its northern neighbor, permitted 2,489. Frisco still grew 18.2% since 2020, to 236,955 people, but more new homes now go up just north of the city line than inside it. Frisco itself is becoming an existing-home market.
That shifts the ad plan. The 2000s homes are coming due while the 2010s homes mostly are not, so the qualifier's system-age question decides which Frisco lead gets a comfort advisor and which gets a maintenance agreement offer.
How do Frisco home values change the offer?
They support full, matched systems. The median Frisco home is valued at $642,100, the highest of our DFW city pages and well above Plano's $465,900. On a house at that price, the natural offer is the full job: new condenser, coil and furnace or air handler together, sized to the home.
So Frisco landing pages sell what an estimate covers, not the lowest price. They explain load calculations, zoning for two-story homes and your install warranty. Financing is offered, but it is not the headline.
Furnace or heat pump in Frisco?
Mostly furnace. 54.2% of occupied Frisco homes heat with utility gas and 44.0% with electricity. Atmos Energy lists Frisco in its Mid-Tex division, and CoServ also runs a gas system in Collin and Denton counties. So the lead Frisco offer is a matched AC and furnace changeout, with heat pumps as the second track.
Who delivers Frisco's electricity, and is there a rebate?
Oncor delivers power in Frisco, and those homeowners choose a retail provider. CoServ, a member-owned cooperative, lists Frisco Square, Hall Park and the PGA of America campus among the developments it serves. Neither offers a rebate we could verify, so Frisco ads promise none.
CoServ's energy programs page says it "does not currently offer incentives or rebates for solar or other energy efficiency upgrades." Oncor's efficiency program applies only to homes on Oncor's delivery system and names no amount. Because two utilities overlap here, we do not write utility claims into Frisco ads at all. The offer stands on the estimate, the equipment and the install date.
How would we run Meta and Google for a Frisco contractor?
Meta-heavy through May, Google-heavy from June to September. The McKinney station averages only 4.0 days at 90°F or more in May, against 15.6 in June, so the Google flip waits a month. Winter is real: 45.4 freezing nights a year. No lead reaches your calendar without passing the six-question qualifier.
What changes for Frisco:
- First-timer creative. Short videos that explain what a replacement estimate includes, aimed at owners of 2000s homes.
- A tight map. Frisco with Prosper, Little Elm and The Colony. Plano and McKinney only if your trucks already work there.
- Bigger homes. A large two-story house can mean two systems or zoning, so the qualifier's home-type answer flags it before the visit.
- City-name search. "AC replacement Frisco" and "furnace replacement Frisco", with repair parts and DIY searches excluded.
How the six questions work is on our HVAC landing pages page.
When do Frisco homeowners buy?
| Month | Days at 90°F or more | Freezing nights | Ad split | Offer focus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January and February | 0.0 each | 14.1, 10.6 | Meta $2,500 / Google $1,500 | AC and furnace changeouts |
| March and April | 0.1, 0.5 | 3.1, 0.4 | Meta-heavy | First-replacement education, book early |
| May | 4.0 | 0.0 | Meta $2,500 / Google $1,500 | Replace before June |
| June to August | 15.6, 26.6, 26.5 | 0.0 | Google $2,500 / Meta $1,500 | Central AC and heat pump replacement |
| September | 12.9 | 0.0 | Google-heavy | Late-season install slots |
| October | 1.8 | 0.1 | Meta-heavy | Furnace check to replacement |
| November and December | 0.0 each | 5.1, 12.0 | Meta-heavy | AC and furnace changeouts, maintenance agreements |
Figures are NOAA 1991 to 2020 normals for McKinney Municipal Airport, the nearest station in our data. They are not a Frisco measurement.
Worked example: a Frisco May at minimum spend (planning assumptions, not results)
Pre-peak split: Meta $2,500 + Google $1,500 = $4,000 ad spend
$4,000 ÷ $100 to $130 assumed blended cost per lead = about 35 leads
35 × 60% pass the qualifier = about 21. 21 × 60% book = about 12 to 13 booked estimates
12.5 × 30% close = about 3 to 4 AC and furnace or heat pump jobs
About $320 ad cost per booked estimate. About $520 all-in with the $2,500 fee
Break-even jobs = ($2,500 + $4,000) ÷ your gross profit per replacement
All of these are planning assumptions. We have no Frisco data, and the 42% of homes built after 2010 could lower the qualifier pass rate. Your first month of results replaces them.
Is Frisco a separate territory?
No. Frisco is part of our Dallas-Fort Worth territory, which is open, with one HVAC contractor per service line across the metro. A Frisco-based contractor who signs holds DFW, and the ads only run in the cities your crews cover.
See the Dallas-Fort Worth territory page, the McKinney page, our pricing, or book a strategy call. We run everything from Sydney on Central Time hours, with no Texas office, staff or clients.
Sources
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, annual/seasonal, McKinney Municipal Airport (USC00415766), NOAA NCEI
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, monthly, McKinney Municipal Airport (USC00415766), NOAA NCEI
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, annual/seasonal, Dallas-Fort Worth AP (USW00003927), NOAA NCEI
- Vintage 2025 population estimates, cities and towns, US Census Bureau
- American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year, tables B25003, B25035, B25036, B25040 and B25077, US Census Bureau
- Building Permits Survey, 2025 annual by place, South Region, US Census Bureau
- Frisco electricity service area, ElectricRates.org
- Home Energy Efficiency Program, Take A Load Off Texas, Oncor
- Developing with CoServ, CoServ
- Energy Saving Programs, CoServ
- Mid-Tex Division tariffs, cities and counties served, Atmos Energy