New Braunfels is adding people quickly. Census estimates put it at 90,394 people in 2020 and 122,492 in 2025. Its homes are young, most of them heat with electricity, and the city buys power from its own community-owned utility, which pays an HVAC rebate. Each of those facts changes the ad. Here is how we would set it up.
What makes New Braunfels different for an HVAC contractor?
Young homes, electric heat and a local utility rebate. 40.5% of owner-occupied homes were built in 2010 or later, 77.8% of occupied homes heat with electricity, and New Braunfels Utilities offers up to $1,150 back on an efficient air conditioner or heat pump. The ads lead with heat pumps and a real local number.
| New Braunfels, Census | Value |
|---|---|
| Population, 2020 to 2025 | 90,394 to 122,492 (+35.5%) |
| Single-family homes permitted, 2025 | 879 |
| Owner-occupied homes (ACS 2020 to 2024) | 26,765 (65.3% of occupied homes) |
| Owner homes built 2010 or later | 40.5% |
| Owner homes built 1980 to 2009 | 10,916 (40.8%) |
| Owner homes built before 1980 | 18.7% |
| Median year built, all homes | 2006 |
| Median home value | $339,400 |
| Occupied homes heated by electricity / gas | 77.8% / 20.2% |
How much of New Braunfels is ready for a replacement?
About three in five owner homes. 40.8% were built from 1980 to 2009 and 18.7% before 1980. The other 40.5% went up in 2010 or later, and many of those systems are not due yet. New Braunfels is really two markets sharing one ZIP map, and the qualifier has to tell them apart.
The system-age question handles it. An owner with a 2021 house and a warm upstairs bedroom gets routed as a service call. An owner with a 2004 house and the original heat pump goes to your calendar as a booked estimate. Without that filter, a fast-growing city like this fills your comfort advisor's week with homes that need a tune-up, not a new system.
The newer homes are still worth reaching. They are the audience for maintenance agreements now, and for replacements later.
How does New Braunfels Utilities change the ad?
It gives the ad a local rebate. New Braunfels Utilities is community-owned and has run the city's electric system since 1942, alongside water and wastewater. Its Air Conditioner and Heat Pump rebate has a listed maximum of $1,150 for replacing aging units with efficient equipment.
What NBU publishes, and what we do with it:
- Eligible equipment: high-efficiency air conditioners, heat pumps, ENERGY STAR window units and mini-splits. We only advertise full system replacements, so the ad shows central AC and heat pumps.
- Amount: "Max Rebate: $1,150". NBU's overview does not show the tier table behind it, so the ad says "up to $1,150" and your comfort advisor confirms the figure at the estimate.
- Who can apply: it sits in NBU's commercial and residential rebates, with an online application.
- Smaller extras: NBU also lists an Air Conditioner Checkup rebate of up to $80 and a smart thermostat rebate of up to $85. Both fit a maintenance agreement offer for the newer homes.
New Braunfels is also not a retail-choice market like Dallas or Houston. NBU is a municipally owned utility, and its customers do not pick a retail electric provider, so inside NBU's area there is one utility and one rebate program to explain.
Does every New Braunfels address get the NBU rebate?
No. NBU serves the city, but Comal County also has customers on CPS Energy and Pedernales Electric Cooperative. A San Antonio CPS rebate does not belong in an ad for an NBU home, and an NBU rebate does not belong in an ad for a co-op home. We check the utility before the rebate line appears.
In practice that means two things. The rebate sits on the landing page with the NBU source linked, not in every ad headline across the county. And we check each lead's address against NBU's service area before the estimate, so your comfort advisor does not promise a rebate the homeowner cannot claim.
How would we run Meta and Google for a New Braunfels contractor?
Google-heavy from May through September, Meta-heavy the rest of the year. The New Braunfels station averages 116.8 days a year at 90°F or more and 32.0 freezing nights, so both seasons sell. Every lead passes the six-question qualifier before it reaches your calendar.
What changes here:
- Heat pumps first. With 77.8% electric heat, creative leads with heat pump replacement plus the NBU rebate, with an AC plus furnace track for the gas minority.
- A corridor map. New Braunfels and Gruene, with Canyon Lake, Garden Ridge, Schertz, Cibolo and Seguin if your trucks cover them.
- Age-split audiences. Full replacement for 1980s to 2000s homes. Maintenance agreements and the NBU checkup rebate for owners of newer homes.
More on selling heat pumps is in heat pump installation leads.
When do New Braunfels homeowners buy?
| Month | Days at 90°F or more | Freezing nights | Ad split | Offer focus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.0 | 10.5 | Meta $2,500 / Google $1,500 | Heat pump replacement, NBU rebate |
| February and March | 0.3, 0.5 | 6.2, 2.9 | Meta-heavy | Book before summer, financing |
| April | 2.4 | 0.1 | Meta-heavy | Replace before the heat, NBU rebate |
| May | 10.1 | 0.0 | Google $2,500 / Meta $1,500 | Heat pump and central AC replacement |
| June to August | 23.4, 27.9, 28.4 | 0.0 | Google-heavy | Replacement, fast install dates |
| September | 18.9 | 0.0 | Google-heavy | Late-season install slots |
| October | 4.8 | 0.1 | Meta-heavy | Replace before next summer |
| November and December | 0.3, 0.0 | 2.7, 9.4 | Meta-heavy | Heating, maintenance agreements, AC checkups |
Figures are NOAA 1991 to 2020 normals for the New Braunfels station.
Worked example: a New Braunfels May at minimum spend (planning assumptions, not results)
Peak split starts: Google $2,500 + Meta $1,500 = $4,000 ad spend
$4,000 ÷ $100 to $130 assumed blended cost per lead = about 35 leads
35 × 60% pass the qualifier = about 21. 21 × 60% book = about 12 to 13 booked estimates
12.5 × 30% close = about 3 to 4 heat pump or central AC jobs
About $320 ad cost per booked estimate. About $520 all-in with the $2,500 fee
NBU customer: the homeowner may claim a rebate of up to $1,150 on qualifying equipment, confirmed at the estimate
Break-even jobs = ($2,500 + $4,000) ÷ your gross profit per replacement
These are planning assumptions, not New Braunfels results. With 40.5% of owner homes built since 2010, the qualifier pass rate could run below 60%. Your first month of data replaces these numbers, and we recheck NBU's rebate page before any ad goes live.
Is New Braunfels a separate territory?
No. New Braunfels is part of our San Antonio territory, which is open. We sign one HVAC contractor per service line for the whole metro. A New Braunfels contractor who signs holds San Antonio, and the ads only run in the areas your trucks cover.
See the San Antonio territory page, our pricing, or book a strategy call. We are based in Sydney, work Central Time hours, and have no Texas office, staff or clients.
Sources
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, annual/seasonal, New Braunfels (USC00416276), NOAA NCEI
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, monthly, New Braunfels (USC00416276), NOAA NCEI
- Vintage 2025 population estimates, cities and towns, US Census Bureau
- American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year, tables B25003, B25035, B25036, B25040 and B25077, US Census Bureau
- Building Permits Survey, 2025 annual by place, South Region, US Census Bureau
- Rebates, New Braunfels Utilities
- NBU Rebates Overview, New Braunfels Utilities
- About New Braunfels Utilities, New Braunfels Utilities
- Texas municipal utilities and electric co-ops, ComparePower
- Comal County power outages and utilities, PowerOutage.us