Oklahoma City asks an HVAC contractor to be good at both ends of the thermometer. NOAA's 1991 to 2020 normals for Will Rogers World Airport show 72.2 nights a year at or below freezing and 12.5 days at 100°F or more. January averages a low of 27.0°F and July a high of 93.1°F. That is two real replacement seasons a year, each with its own equipment and its own ad.
Why is HVAC marketing in Oklahoma City different?
Because heating is the bigger load and gas is the main fuel. Will Rogers averages 3,615 heating degree days against 1,867 cooling degree days, and 55.3% of occupied homes in the metro heat with utility gas. Most replacement jobs are AC plus furnace changeouts, sold in two separate peaks: December to February and June to August.
December, January and February average 18.8, 21.8 and 15.1 freezing nights. July and August average 24.2 and 22.1 days at 90°F. In between, spring and fall are short. A campaign that only sells cooling misses half the year, and one that sells the same message in January and July wastes money in both.
Which Oklahoma City homes are at replacement age?
The core is old. Oklahoma County's median home was built in 1980, and 47.6% of its owner homes date from before 1980. Across the metro, 149,243 owner homes (40.1%) were built from 1980 to 2009. Canadian County is the new-build side, with 41.0% of its owner homes built in 2010 or later.
| Census ACS 2024 | Owner-occupied | Median year built | Median home value | Owner homes built before 1980 | Heated by utility gas |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City metro | 63.2% | 1985 | $253,200 | 37.8% | 55.3% |
| Oklahoma County | 57.3% | 1980 | $244,000 | 47.6% | 57.7% |
| Cleveland County | 63.7% | 1991 | $254,400 | 28.2% | 57.3% |
| Canadian County | 75.0% | 2002 | $275,000 | 22.2% | 61.3% |
| Oklahoma City (city, 2020 to 2024 5-year) | 58.6% | 1982 | $231,300 | 42.2% | 56.8% |
Two things follow for the ads. First, many homes in Oklahoma County have already been through more than one system, so estimates there often include ductwork and a gas line check, and the comfort advisor needs time on the calendar. Second, with a metro median home value of $253,200, a full furnace plus AC changeout is a big ticket against the house. Financing belongs in the ad, not buried at the bottom of the landing page.
Propane matters at the edges. 5.1% of occupied homes in Canadian County heat with bottled gas, so the qualifier's "current system" answer routes those homes by your rules.
Where is Oklahoma City growing?
West and south. The metro reached 1,512,813 people in 2025, up 6.1% since 2020. Canadian County grew 21.4% and McClain 19.1%, while Oklahoma County grew 3.2% and Cleveland 2.9%. The city itself counted 719,849 people, up 5.7%. Builders pulled 6,497 single-family permits across the metro in 2025.
The growth corridors are where new-build homes sit, and new homes are not replacement jobs yet. Utility rules point the same way: OG&E's published HVAC rebate guidelines exclude homes built in the last 10 years. So we weight spend toward the 1980 to 2009 housing in Oklahoma and Cleveland counties and treat Canadian County by ZIP code.
Who delivers energy in Oklahoma City, and which rebates are open?
OG&E, which calls itself Oklahoma's oldest and largest investor-owned electric utility, and Oklahoma Natural Gas, which serves 931,000 customers across the state. As of September 2026, OG&E's rebate page says its Oklahoma rebates are closed and will return in 2027. Oklahoma Natural Gas still lists a $650 rebate on a new 95% or higher efficiency gas furnace.
OG&E, closed for 2026. The published Oklahoma HVAC Burnout Replacement guidelines paid up to $1,500 per HVAC unit, with two replacements per home, for OG&E residential customers in single-family homes more than 10 years old. System replacements were eligible once every 20 years, installed by an Oklahoma licensed HVAC professional, with paperwork due 30 days after install. When the program returns, we will read the 2027 terms before any ad uses it.
Oklahoma Natural Gas, open. The current furnace rebate sheet, revised September 2026, lists:
- $650 for a new 95% or higher efficiency gas furnace or boiler.
- $2,300 for replacing an electric resistance furnace with a new gas furnace, or an electric heat pump with a new gas furnace and air conditioner.
- $2,900 for either of those conversions when the new furnace is 95% or higher efficiency.
The installer must be an Oklahoma-licensed contractor, the application is due within 180 days of installation, and funds are first come, first served. For winter campaigns, "up to $650 back on a 95% furnace" is a real, verifiable line. The conversion rebates only go in the ads if you actually sell gas conversions.
How would we run Meta and Google in Oklahoma City?
Two peaks, two offers. Google-heavy from June to September for AC replacement, an even split in December, January and May, and Meta-heavy in spring and fall. Winter ads sell furnace plus AC changeouts with the gas rebate. Summer ads sell central AC replacement with a fast install date. Every lead passes the six-question qualifier.
What changes in Oklahoma City:
- Area maps. A typical build: the Oklahoma County core (Oklahoma City, Midwest City, Del City, Bethany), north (Edmond), south (Norman, Moore), west (Yukon, Mustang, El Reno) and McClain (Newcastle, Blanchard). Each gets its own budget.
- Season-matched creative. January ads talk to owners of 20-year-old furnaces. July ads talk to owners whose AC is running nonstop on 100°F afternoons.
- Qualifier weight on system type. The "current system" question separates gas furnace, heat pump and propane homes, so your comfort advisor arrives with the right equipment and the right rebate paperwork.
- City-level search terms. Google bids on replacement terms with city names, such as "furnace replacement Edmond" or "AC replacement Norman", and excludes parts, DIY and job-seeker searches.
The channel logic is on our Google Ads for HVAC and Facebook ads for HVAC pages.
What does the Oklahoma City season calendar look like?
| Month | Days at 90°F or more (NOAA normal) | Freezing nights (NOAA normal) | Ad split | Offer focus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 0.0 | 21.8 | Meta $2,000 / Google $2,000 | Furnace plus AC changeouts, gas furnace rebate |
| February | 0.0 | 15.1 | Meta $2,500 / Google $1,500 | Furnace plus AC changeouts, financing |
| March and April | 0.2, 0.5 | 6.4, 1.3 | Meta-heavy | Replace before summer, maintenance agreements |
| May | 3.0 | 0.0 | Meta $2,000 / Google $2,000 | Central AC replacement, install dates |
| June to August | 13.8, 24.2, 22.1 | 0.0 | Google $2,500 / Meta $1,500 | AC replacement, fast installs |
| September | 8.8 | 0.0 | Google-heavy | End-of-summer install slots |
| October | 0.9 | 0.8 | Meta-heavy | Heating checks turning into full replacement |
| November | 0.0 | 7.9 | Meta $2,500 / Google $1,500 | Furnace plus AC changeouts |
| December | 0.0 | 18.8 | Meta $2,000 / Google $2,000 | Furnace replacement, gas furnace rebate |
January is the hardest month, with 21.8 freezing nights. That is why the split evens out in winter: a furnace that quits in January becomes a same-week decision, and those homeowners search on Google.
Worked example: an Oklahoma City January at minimum spend (planning assumptions, not results)
Winter split: Meta $2,000 + Google $2,000 = $4,000 ad spend
$4,000 ÷ $100 to $130 assumed blended cost per lead = about 35 leads
35 × 60% pass the qualifier = about 21. 21 × 60% book = about 12 to 13 booked estimates
12.5 × 30% close = about 3 to 4 furnace plus AC changeouts
About $320 ad cost per booked estimate. About $520 all-in with the $2,500 fee
Break-even jobs = ($2,500 + $4,000) ÷ your gross profit per replacement. Illustrative only: at $3,000 gross profit per changeout, about 2.2 jobs covers the month
A booked estimate is a qualified homeowner booked for an in-home estimate on your calendar, at a set time. These are planning assumptions, not Oklahoma City results. We have no local data yet, and your first month of real numbers replaces them.
Is the Oklahoma City territory available?
Yes. Oklahoma City is open, with one contractor per service line across the metro. You would work with Sam on audits, strategy and media buying, and Alan on onboarding, CRM and client operations. We are based in Sydney, work Central Time hours, and have no Oklahoma office, staff or clients.
The ads run in your own Meta and Google accounts, the landing page sits on your domain, and leads land in a CRM you log into. See the HVAC Profit Machine, our pricing, or book a strategy call. The nearest other territory is Dallas-Fort Worth, and the other Texas territories are on the Texas overview.
Sources
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, annual and seasonal, Oklahoma City Will Rogers AP (USW00013967), NOAA NCEI
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, monthly, Oklahoma City Will Rogers AP (USW00013967), NOAA NCEI
- Vintage 2025 population estimates, metro and county totals, US Census Bureau
- Vintage 2025 population estimates, cities and towns, US Census Bureau
- American Community Survey 2024 1-year, tables B25003, B25035, B25036, B25040 and B25077, US Census Bureau
- American Community Survey 2020 to 2024 5-year, tables B25003, B25035, B25036, B25040 and B25077, US Census Bureau
- Building Permits Survey, 2025 annual by CBSA, US Census Bureau
- Rebates, OG&E
- HVAC Replacement Rules and Guidelines, Oklahoma, OG&E
- Who We Are, OG&E
- Residential Rebates, Oklahoma Natural Gas
- Rebate Information: Furnace, Oklahoma Natural Gas
- About Oklahoma Natural Gas, Oklahoma Natural Gas