South Florida is a huge HVAC market with an awkward shape for a replacement contractor. The heat never lets up, but most homes are apartments and condos. If ads are not aimed carefully, you pay for leads from a 14th-floor unit when your crews want a 4-ton changeout in Pembroke Pines. Here is how we would aim them.
Why is HVAC marketing in South Florida different?
Because the housing is different. Only 40.4% of the metro's housing units are detached single-family homes, and 28.4% sit in buildings with 20 or more units. In 2025 the metro permitted 5,873 single-family homes and 16,699 units in buildings of five or more. Targeting, not budget, decides results here.
The climate adds no off-season. Miami International averages 4,656 cooling degree days a year, and October (467) matches May (467). July nights average a low of 77.5°F. Heating barely registers: 104 heating degree days a year and no freezing nights in the normals.
How do Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach differ?
They behave like three markets. Palm Beach has the most owners and single-family homes. Miami-Dade has the most high-rise units and the lowest ownership. Broward sits between them with the oldest homes. The metro has 6,391,072 people across the three counties.
| County (ACS 2024) | Owner-occupied | Detached single-family, share of units | Units in 20+ unit buildings | Median year built |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami-Dade | 52.6% | 37.7% | 34.2% | 1982 |
| Broward | 64.2% | 39.9% | 29.2% | 1981 |
| Palm Beach | 70.0% | 45.1% | 18.8% | 1986 |
On these numbers, Palm Beach is the easiest place for a single-family replacement contractor to start, and Miami-Dade needs the tightest zip code list.
The stock is also old. Across the metro, 44% of owner-occupied homes were built before 1980, and only 7% since 2010. Older homes mean more ductwork and electrical questions at the estimate, which is why the qualifier asks about the current system and its age before your comfort advisor drives out.
What would we sell in South Florida ads?
Heat pump and straight-cool replacements for single-family homes and townhomes. 90.5% of occupied homes in the metro heat with electricity, and only 3.6% with gas. So the offer is a full system changeout, sized properly for humidity, with financing and a dated install slot. No furnace offers.
FPL rebate. FPL's program standards, effective September 1, 2025, pay $200 per qualifying unit through a Participating Independent Contractor. The system must be at least one SEER2 point above the federal minimum and must replace the condenser, blower and evaporator coil. Window units and single-zone mini-splits are excluded, and the rebate appears as a credit on your invoice. If you are a participating contractor, we use it in copy.
How would we run Meta and Google in South Florida?
Google-heavy from May to October, Meta-heavy from November to April. That is one month longer than our usual Sun Belt flip, because Miami's October cooling load equals May's. Meta targets zip codes with more detached homes. Google bids on replacement terms and excludes "condo AC repair" type searches if you do not want them.
| Months | Miami Intl normals | Ad split at $4,000 minimum | What the ads sell |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec to Feb | Highs 76°F to 78°F; still 155 to 219 cooling degree days a month | Meta $2,500, Google $1,500 | Planned replacements, maintenance memberships |
| Mar to Apr | Highs 81°F to 84°F | Meta $2,500, Google $1,500 | Replace before the rainy season |
| May to Oct | Wet season, 6 to 11 inches of rain a month; hurricane season from June 1 | Google $2,500, Meta $1,500 | Heat pump and AC replacement, financing |
| Nov | Highs 81°F; hurricane season ends November 30 | Meta $2,500, Google $1,500 | Replace before next summer |
The National Hurricane Center puts the Atlantic season at June 1 to November 30, peaking September 10. We keep a pause plan for storm weeks and never run storm-damage ads.
Worked example: the condo effect on a South Florida month (planning assumptions, not results)
Standard plan at $4,000: about 35 leads × 60% qualify = about 21 × 60% book = about 12 to 13 booked estimates. Ad cost per booked estimate about $320
Illustration only: if condo and renter leads drop the qualify rate to 45%, then 35 × 45% = about 16 qualified × 60% book = about 9 to 10 booked estimates
Ad cost per booked estimate rises to about $420, and all-in cost ($6,500) to about $680
Break-even = $6,500 ÷ your gross profit per replacement. Illustrative only: at $3,500 gross profit per changeout, 2 jobs covers the month either way
The 60% and 45% figures are planning assumptions and an illustration, not South Florida data. The point is that aiming at single-family homes protects your cost per booked estimate. Your real numbers replace these in the first month. See the pricing page for the full offer.
Is the South Florida territory open, and who would you be working with?
Yes. You would work with Sam (audits, strategy, media buying) and Alan (onboarding, CRM, client operations). We are based in Sydney, Australia. We have no Miami office, no Florida staff, no local phone number and no Florida clients. We also have no South Florida reviews, so judge us on the audit and the plan, not on claims.
We work your business hours remotely. Ads run in your own Meta and Google accounts, the landing page is on your domain, and leads live in a CRM you log into. See the HVAC Profit Machine for the full flow and Google Ads for HVAC for how we build search campaigns.
Sources
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, annual and seasonal, Miami Intl AP (USW00012839), NOAA NCEI
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, monthly, Miami Intl AP (USW00012839), NOAA NCEI
- Metropolitan and county population estimates, Vintage 2025, US Census Bureau
- ACS 2024 1-year, B25003 Tenure, US Census Bureau
- ACS 2024 1-year, B25024 Units in Structure, US Census Bureau
- ACS 2024 1-year, B25035 Median Year Structure Built, US Census Bureau
- ACS 2024 1-year, B25036 Tenure by Year Structure Built, US Census Bureau
- ACS 2024 1-year, B25040 House Heating Fuel, US Census Bureau
- Building Permits Survey, 2025 annual by CBSA, US Census Bureau
- Residential HVAC Program Standards (effective September 1, 2025), Florida Power & Light
- Tropical Cyclone Climatology, National Hurricane Center