Quick answer
HVAC marketing cost has three parts: ad spend paid to the platforms, a fee to whoever runs it, and your own office time. With us, the fee is $2,500 a month and ad spend is at least $4,000 a month paid directly to Meta and Google, so about $6,500 all-in. Compare any option on all-in cost per booked estimate and per sold job, not on the monthly fee alone.
"How much does HVAC marketing cost?" is the question every contractor asks, and it gets the least useful answers. You will see "it depends," a percentage of revenue, or a price that turns out to exclude ad spend.
This post breaks the cost into its parts, explains how each pricing model charges, and shows the math we use to set a budget. Where we give our own funnel numbers, they are planning assumptions, labeled as such. We are new to the US market, and we have no US client results yet. We did not find reliable published price ranges for US HVAC agencies, so we will not invent one. What we can give you is our own price and a way to test anyone else's.
How much does HVAC marketing cost in the US?
HVAC marketing cost is ad spend, plus the fee for whoever runs it, plus your own time to answer and run estimates. With us, that is at least $4,000 a month in ads paid directly to Meta and Google and a $2,500 monthly fee, so about $6,500 a month all-in before your office time.
The fee is only part of it. A $1,500 a month agency on $1,000 of ad spend can cost more per sold job than a $2,500 agency on $4,000, because the smaller budget may not produce enough booked estimates to close. The number that matters is all-in cost per sold job.
Three parts to count:
- Ad spend. What you pay Google, Meta or a marketplace to reach homeowners.
- Management. The fee to whoever builds and runs the ads, pages, follow-up and reporting.
- Your time. CSR or dispatcher time to book, comfort advisor time for estimates, and software.
What are the main ways HVAC marketing is priced?
There are six common models: pay per lead from a marketplace, Google Local Services Ads, pay per click on Google Search, Meta ads paid per impression, a monthly agency retainer, and pay per appointment. Each moves risk and control between you and the seller in a different way.
| Model | What you pay for | Typical terms we could verify | Who carries the risk | Who owns the lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marketplace leads (Angi, Thumbtack) | Each lead, win or lose | Angi: reported "$15 to $85 per lead" plus about $300 a year. Thumbtack: reported "$10 to over $100" per lead | You | The marketplace |
| Google Local Services Ads | Each valid lead as Google defines it | Per lead. Google may credit low-quality leads | Shared | Mostly Google's platform |
| Google Search ads | Each click | Varies by metro, keyword and season | You | You |
| Meta ads | Impressions (you choose the goal) | Varies by audience and season | You | You |
| Agency monthly retainer | Management, ads extra | Few agencies publish rates | Shared, if reporting is honest | You, if ads run in your accounts |
| Pay per appointment | Each booked appointment | Varies; check how an "appointment" is defined | Mostly the seller | Often the seller |
The marketplace figures come from Housecall Pro's write-ups of Angi and Thumbtack. They are reported ranges across trades, not HVAC-specific price lists. Google's own help page says "you pay for valid leads" with Local Services Ads, and that charged leads "may be issued credits automatically if determined to be low quality" (Google Local Services Help).
How much do HVAC leads cost?
It depends on what you call a lead. A marketplace lead might be tens of dollars. A Google or Meta lead you own usually costs more per lead. The fair comparison is cost per booked estimate and cost per sold job, because shared leads convert at lower rates when three contractors chase the same homeowner.
Our planning assumption for exclusive leads from Meta and Google combined is $100 to $130 per lead. That is not a US result; it is the number we plan with until your own data replaces it. It looks expensive next to a $40 shared lead. But a lead that is yours alone, has answered six qualifying questions and gets a reply inside 60 seconds has a very different chance of turning into an estimate.
A quick test for any source: take last quarter's spend on it and divide by the jobs it sold. If you cannot do that division, the first cost to fix is tracking.
How much do HVAC marketing agencies charge?
Most agencies charge a monthly retainer, a percentage of ad spend, or a mix, and ad spend is almost always extra. Many do not publish rates. We charge $2,500 a month with ad spend paid separately by you. Ask any agency for the all-in monthly number and what counts as a result.
We looked for a reliable, published range of US HVAC agency fees and did not find one we could verify from a primary source. So instead of a range, here are the questions that expose the real price:
- Is ad spend included or extra? If included, how much of the fee actually reaches Google and Meta?
- Whose accounts do the ads run in? If theirs, you lose the history when you leave.
- What is the contract length? Month to month, 6 months, 12 months?
- What do they report? Clicks and leads, or booked estimates and sold jobs?
- What is a "lead" or "appointment"? A form fill, a phone call over 30 seconds, or a qualified homeowner on your calendar?
We cover the full list in how to choose an HVAC marketing agency: 12 questions to ask.
What does Scale Theory charge?
$2,500 a month. The first 90 days are paid in two halves: $3,750 on signing, which covers setup, and $3,750 once we have booked 3 central AC or heat pump replacement or installation estimates of $5,000 or more before sales tax into your calendar, or at day 90, whichever comes first. After that it is month to month with 30 days notice.
Pay half to start. You pay the other half once we've booked 3 central AC or heat pump estimates into your calendar.
Repairs, service calls, single mini-split heads and new-construction work do not count toward the 3, though they still show in your Friday report. The count comes straight from your calendar, so it never waits on paperwork.
Ad spend is on top and goes straight from your card to Meta and Google, at least $4,000 a month combined. By default that is Meta $2,500 and Google $1,500. In peak cooling months, roughly May to September in Texas and the Sun Belt, we flip it to Google $2,500 and Meta $1,500. Multi-metro or commercial work needs $6,000 or more a month in ads and is scoped on the call.
| Period | Scale Theory fee | Ad spend (paid to Meta and Google) | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| On signing | $3,750 | $3,750 | |
| Months 1 to 3 | $12,000 ($4,000 a month) | $12,000 | |
| 3 booked estimates or day 90 | $3,750 | $3,750 | |
| First 90 days | $7,500 | $12,000 | $19,500 |
| Each month after | $2,500 | $4,000 | $6,500 |
We do not guarantee results. We do publish the price, run everything in your accounts, and report every number every Friday. The full breakdown is on our pricing page.
How do you set an HVAC marketing budget?
Work backward from the jobs you want. Divide target jobs by your close rate to get the booked estimates you need, multiply by cost per booked estimate to get ad spend, add the fee, and check the total against the gross profit those jobs bring in.
Worked example: budgeting for 4 replacement jobs a month (planning assumptions, not results)
Target: 4 replacement jobs a month from paid marketing
Close rate on exclusive, pre-qualified estimates: 30% to 40%
Booked estimates needed: 4 / 0.40 = 10, up to 4 / 0.30 = about 13
Ad cost per booked estimate (planning): about $320
Ad spend needed: 10 x $320 = $3,200, up to 13 x $320 = about $4,160
Set spend at the $4,000 a month minimum, which our planning funnel puts at about 12 to 13 booked estimates
All-in: $4,000 ads + $2,500 fee = $6,500 a month, or about $520 per booked estimate
Break-even in jobs = $6,500 / your gross profit per replacement
Illustration only: at $3,500 gross profit per changeout, about 2 jobs a month covers the marketing
The $3,500 is a round number to show the shape of the math, not a market figure. Use your own.
For context on ticket size, Sears Home Services puts central AC replacement at "$3,000 to $7,500 for most homes" and heat pumps at "$4,000 to $8,000" (Sears Home Services, updated February 11, 2026). HomeGuide, by contrast, puts common air-source heat pumps at "$10,000 to $25,000" installed (HomeGuide), so treat any single guide as a rough marker. Those are prices to homeowners, not your gross profit. Your gross profit per job, after equipment, labor, permits and financing fees, is the only number that belongs in the break-even line.
What hidden costs should you count?
Count office time to answer and book leads, comfort advisor time for estimates, software for CRM and texting, call tracking, and financing fees on sold jobs. None of them appear on an agency invoice, but each one sits between a lead and a sold job and belongs in your real cost per sale.
A few that catch contractors out:
- Texting setup. We only text homeowners who gave consent on the form, from a registered business number. Someone has to set that up and keep it running, and we do it as part of the system.
- Estimate time. A comfort advisor who runs 12 estimates a month from paid ads is not running them from referrals. Count that capacity.
- Wasted estimates. An estimate for a renter, or for someone who only wanted a repair, costs a truck and an hour. That is what the six-question qualifier is for.
- Unanswered leads. A lead nobody calls for three hours was paid for and thrown away.
How does the season change what HVAC marketing costs?
Costs follow demand. In peak cooling months more contractors bid on the same searches, so Google clicks tend to cost more, but homeowners with failed systems also convert faster. In the shoulder season, Meta ads and offers to your existing customers usually carry more of the load at lower cost.
Houston is a good example of a long season. Houston Intercontinental averages about 3,288 cooling degree days and 111 days a year at 90°F or hotter (NOAA climate normals). CenterPoint Energy also offers replacement incentives that "start at $200" for central AC, heat pumps and mini-splits at 15.2 SEER2 or above, applied through participating contractors (CenterPoint Energy). A utility incentive like that gives ads a concrete reason to act, as long as you are a participating contractor. More on that market is on our Houston HVAC marketing page.
What we do with spend across the year:
- Peak cooling: Google-heavy split, turn spend down if your install lead time runs past about three weeks.
- Shoulder and winter: Meta-heavy, with Off-Peak Fill offers: heat pump heating, AC plus furnace changeouts, maintenance plan offers and pre-summer booking.
- Never zero: a switched-off account costs more to restart than a baseline costs to keep.
When is HVAC marketing too expensive?
When your all-in cost per sold job is higher than the gross profit a sold job brings, for more than a month or two with no clear cause. Before cutting spend, check reply speed, estimate follow-up and close rate. Those usually move cost per sold job more than a cheaper click does.
The cheapest lead is rarely the cheapest job. Compare every source on all-in cost per sold job, tracked for at least 60 days, before you move a dollar.
If you are weighing marketplace leads against building your own, read Angi, HomeAdvisor and Thumbtack vs building your own HVAC lead flow. If you are in Texas, our season-by-season Texas playbook shows how budget should move through the year.
Sources
- What Is Angi's List and How Does It Work for Contractors? (Housecall Pro)
- What Is Thumbtack? How It Works for Contractors (Housecall Pro)
- How leads work, Local Services Help (Google)
- Air Conditioner Replacement Cost in 2026: Average Prices and What to Expect (Sears Home Services)
- How Much Does a Heat Pump Cost? (2026) (HomeGuide)
- HVAC System Replacement Incentives (CenterPoint Energy)
- U.S. Climate Normals 1991 to 2020, Houston Intercontinental Airport (NOAA NCEI)
